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DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20170606T180000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Helsinki:20170606T193000
DTSTAMP:20260429T014614
CREATED:20170524T093716Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20170524T094154Z
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SUMMARY:CeMEAS Lecture: The 19th Congress of the Chinese Communist Party
DESCRIPTION:The 19th Congress of the Chinese Communist Party: a Quantitative Assessment\nVictor Shih\, University of California San Diego \nAbstract: \nTwo important questions that can be asked about the 19th Party Congress\, scheduled to take place in the fall of 2017\, include who will take over key positions at the top of the party hierarchy and whether Party Secretary General Xi Jinping can dominate the upper echelons of the Communist Party.  Drawing from a quantitative biographical database of over 4000 Chinese political elite\, I first attempt to present some theoretical and machine learning predictions about who will enter the Politburo in the fall of 2017.  Then\, using the same data\, I assess whether Xi Jinping already dominates the Chinese Communist Party\, or whether that is still a goal he needs to achieve in the fall congress. \nAbout the lecturer: \nVictor Shih is an associate professor of political economy and has published widely on the politics of Chinese banking policies\, fiscal policies and exchange rates. He was the first analyst to identify the risk of massive local government debt\, and is the author of “Factions and Finance in China: Elite Conflict and Inflation.”\nPrior to joining UC San Diego\, Shih was a professor of political science at Northwestern University and former principal for The Carlyle Group.\nShih is currently engaged in a study of how the coalition-formation strategies of founding leaders had a profound impact on the evolution of the Chinese Communist Party. He is also constructing a large database on biographical information of elites in China.
URL:https://www.sinologie-goettingen.de/en/events/cemeas-lecture-the-19th-congress-of-the-chinese-communist-party/
LOCATION:Verfügungsgebäude VG 2.104\, Platz der Göttinger Sieben 7\, Göttingen\, 37073
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